E2014: A Basic (Chilling) Forensic Analysis

Any comparative forensic analysis is only as “good” as its baselines. In Landslide Denied[1]—our archetypal post-election comparative forensics study, in which the “red shift” (the rightward disparity between exit poll and votecount results) was identified and measured—a critical component of the analysis was to establish that the exit poll respondents accurately represented the electorate. We […]