Why we keep getting close elections
This interesting post came through another list. What do you think? Another result of manipulated close elections is that it makes the losers ( who have been mostly Dems lately ) want to keep supporting the system because they'll "win next time"!
[One man's observations about vote-fraud strategy. Forwarded from a
peace listserve in Chicago]
From: neighborsforpeace [at] yahoogroups.com
Subject: Close elections world-wide: a preliminary, semi-mathematical theory
It hasn't been remarked, but it is remarkable. World-wide, and most recently in Mexico, elections have been improbably close, and this phenomenon began with the 2000 US election.
I say "improbably" because landslides were more common...prior to 2000.
A preliminary, semi-mathematical theory: commencing in 2000, a world-wide coordinated effort began by the ruling elites in a number of countries to steal elections using advanced political management techniques, not excluding black operations such as intimidating voters, stealing ballots: but restricting the black ops to states and provinces known to be "key" given the constittional mathematics.
The black ops would be focused only on key districts to avoid detection and in general the "election management" would be so focused on "cost effectiveness" as to produce JUST ENOUGH votes to win.
In a situation where polls (especially informal straw polls and somewhat more trusty marginal polls such as Zogby) indicated widespread dissatisfaction with the clear favorite of elites, this would indeed produce a mathematically improbable result: the "tie", where the precision of the election management produces a "just in time" victory.
This would eliminate Left landslides and create the self-satisfying, if soured, perception amongst progressives that they are the "real" elite who unlike the ordinary slob see through the pretensions of the in-group.
I suggest that statisticians and mathematicians analyze the probability of situations including 2000 and 2004 in the US and the Obrador defeat in Mexico.
- Marj Creech's blog
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